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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 24477, MD · Census Tract 24477800000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$731K
Downside (P10)
$674K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$948K
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.34M
+83% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +83%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $731K | $809K | $816K | $841K | $948K |
| YoY Change | +10.8% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +12.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $671K | $626K | $598K | $674K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$671K to $1.04M
46.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$674K to $1.34M
70.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800000 | $731K | $948K | +29.7% | |
| Tract 680000 | $426K | $561K | +31.5% | |
| Tract 920003 | $589K | $759K | +28.9% | |
| Tract 080008 | $546K | $666K | +21.9% | |
| Tract 640008 | $730K | $783K | +7.2% | |
| Tract 960005 | $916K | $795K | -13.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800000 | $731K | $948K | +29.7% | |
| Tract 320001 | $283K | $438K | +54.7% | |
| Tract 600006 | $388K | $554K | +42.7% | |
| Tract 840002 | $426K | $605K | +42.0% | |
| Tract 680000 | $426K | $561K | +31.5% | |
| Tract 920003 | $589K | $759K | +28.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800000 | $731K | $948K | $666K | |
| Tract 920003 | $589K | $759K | $633K | |
| Tract 840002 | $426K | $605K | $555K | |
| Tract 680000 | $426K | $561K | $469K | |
| Tract 600006 | $388K | $554K | $389K | |
| Tract 320001 | $283K | $438K | $372K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources