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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 24705, MD · Census Tract 24705200521 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$742K
Downside (P10)
$729K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$964K
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.24M
+66% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $742K | $782K | $813K | $880K | $964K |
| YoY Change | +5.3% | +4.1% | +8.1% | +9.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $692K | $669K | $698K | $729K | |
| Upside (P90) | $896K | $971K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$692K to $896K
26.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$729K to $1.24M
52.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200521 | $742K | $964K | +29.9% | |
| Tract 200806 | $756K | $1.02M | +35.5% | |
| Tract 200961 | $750K | $995K | +32.7% | |
| Tract 201245 | $741K | $970K | +30.9% | |
| Tract 201368 | $737K | $954K | +29.5% | |
| Tract 202341 | $728K | $857K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200521 | $742K | $964K | +29.9% | |
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | +59.6% | |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | +47.6% | |
| Tract 200327 | $824K | $1.17M | +42.5% | |
| Tract 200563 | $727K | $987K | +35.7% | |
| Tract 200806 | $756K | $1.02M | +35.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200521 | $742K | $964K | $506K | |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | $271K | |
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | $259K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources