County 24705, MD · Census Tract 24705200783 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$769K
Downside (P10)
$763K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.01M
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.36M
+77% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +77%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 24705 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $769K | $832K | $843K | $934K | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +8.2% | +1.2% | +10.9% | +8.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $707K | $680K | $739K | $763K | |
| Upside (P90) | $954K | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$700K to $849K
19.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$763K to $1.36M
59.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 202189 | $766K | $1.01M | +31.5% |
| Tract 201782 | $774K | $960K | +24.0% |
| Tract 201300 | $759K | $941K | +23.9% |
| Tract 200806 | $756K | $1.02M | +35.5% |
| Tract 202202 | $784K | $921K | +17.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | +59.6% |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | +47.6% |
| Tract 200327 | $824K | $1.17M | +42.5% |
| Tract 200563 | $727K | $987K | +35.7% |
| Tract 200806 | $756K | $1.02M | +35.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | $259K |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | $271K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources