County 24705, MD · Census Tract 24705501288 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$659K
Downside (P10)
$284K
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$627K
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+65% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to +65%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24705 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $659K | $670K | $622K | $591K | $627K |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | -7.2% | -5.0% | +6.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $390K | $321K | $269K | $284K | |
| Upside (P90) | $924K | $973K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$512K to $818K
46.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$284K to $1.09M
128.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500344 | $658K | $673K | +2.3% |
| Tract 500580 | $657K | $702K | +6.8% |
| Tract 501424 | $657K | $628K | -4.3% |
| Tract 502148 | $656K | $682K | +3.9% |
| Tract 502520 | $655K | $646K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | +59.6% |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | +47.6% |
| Tract 200327 | $824K | $1.17M | +42.5% |
| Tract 200563 | $727K | $987K | +35.7% |
| Tract 200806 | $756K | $1.02M | +35.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | $259K |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | $271K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources