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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 24720, MD · Census Tract 24720015283 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.01M
Downside (P10)
$440K
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$833K
-18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.42M
+40% by 2030
Base case: -18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 36% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $986K | $906K | $840K | $833K |
| YoY Change | -2.7% | -8.1% | -7.3% | -0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $663K | $507K | $447K | $440K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$663K to $1.40M
74.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$440K to $1.42M
117.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015283 | $1.01M | $833K | -17.8% | |
| Tract 014145 | $1.01M | $969K | -4.0% | |
| Tract 000447 | $1.01M | $965K | -4.6% | |
| Tract 015762 | $1.02M | $904K | -11.1% | |
| Tract 011368 | $1.01M | $888K | -12.0% | |
| Tract 000706 | $1.01M | $865K | -14.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015283 | $1.01M | $833K | -17.8% | |
| Tract 015500 | $1.11M | $1.06M | -3.7% | |
| Tract 014145 | $1.01M | $969K | -4.0% | |
| Tract 000447 | $1.01M | $965K | -4.6% | |
| Tract 014365 | $1.01M | $929K | -7.7% | |
| Tract 011562 | $1.15M | $1.06M | -8.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015283 | $1.01M | $833K | $976K | |
| Tract 000803 | $1.15M | $954K | $876K | |
| Tract 014242 | $1.16M | $920K | $868K | |
| Tract 015225 | $1.04M | $908K | $852K | |
| Tract 011627 | $1.07M | $912K | $850K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources