County 24000, MD · Census Tract 24000201445 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$304K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$537K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$914K
+141% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +141%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24000 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $380K | $454K | $486K | $499K | $537K |
| YoY Change | +19.6% | +7.1% | +2.7% | +7.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $338K | $337K | $316K | $304K | |
| Upside (P90) | $675K | $741K | $825K | $914K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$311K to $539K
60.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$304K to $914K
113.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200103 | $381K | $547K | +43.7% |
| Tract 300281 | $381K | $484K | +27.0% |
| Tract 300663 | $378K | $493K | +30.6% |
| Tract 300346 | $381K | $486K | +27.4% |
| Tract 200747 | $377K | $571K | +51.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 201429 | $390K | $600K | +53.9% |
| Tract 201267 | $372K | $566K | +51.9% |
| Tract 200747 | $377K | $571K | +51.5% |
| Tract 201322 | $370K | $557K | +50.7% |
| Tract 201102 | $369K | $549K | +48.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 300061 | $388K | $474K | $392K |
| Tract 300281 | $381K | $484K | $404K |
| Tract 300265 | $372K | $522K | $411K |
| Tract 300689 | $357K | $442K | $442K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources