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County 24754, MD · Census Tract 24754201665 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$170K
Downside (P10)
$154K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$256K
+51% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$376K
+122% by 2030
Base case: +51% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +122%. The model forecasts this with 52% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $170K | $206K | $217K | $227K | $256K |
| YoY Change | +21.1% | +5.5% | +4.7% | +12.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $155K | $150K | $142K | $154K | |
| Upside (P90) | $270K | $307K | $330K | $376K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$155K to $270K
55.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$154K to $376K
87.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 201665 | $170K | $256K | +51.0% | |
| Tract 200446 | $170K | $249K | +46.4% | |
| Tract 202842 | $170K | $246K | +44.1% | |
| Tract 204523 | $170K | $242K | +42.1% | |
| Tract 202800 | $170K | $239K | +40.6% | |
| Tract 204044 | $170K | $231K | +35.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 201665 | $170K | $256K | +51.0% | |
| Tract 203061 | $154K | $252K | +63.4% | |
| Tract 202622 | $172K | $268K | +56.1% | |
| Tract 201322 | $171K | $263K | +53.9% | |
| Tract 202745 | $173K | $264K | +52.9% | |
| Tract 204141 | $169K | $257K | +52.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 201665 | $170K | $256K | $223K | |
| Tract 203362 | $191K | $250K | $192K | |
| Tract 203702 | $150K | $222K | $191K | |
| Tract 203906 | $150K | $207K | $187K | |
| Tract 202020 | $151K | $208K | $179K | |
| Tract 204183 | $148K | $208K | $177K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources