County 24768, MD · Census Tract 24768004560 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$800K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-47% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$816K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.31M
+63% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -47% to +63%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24768 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $800K | $838K | $820K | $772K | $816K |
| YoY Change | +4.7% | -2.1% | -5.8% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $578K | $482K | $440K | $425K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$619K to $1.04M
52.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$425K to $1.31M
107.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 111686 | $801K | $767K | -4.3% |
| Tract 004324 | $794K | $673K | -15.3% |
| Tract 101447 | $807K | $671K | -16.9% |
| Tract 111864 | $789K | $718K | -9.0% |
| Tract 100600 | $813K | $844K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 109203 | $815K | $1.04M | +28.1% |
| Tract 001123 | $624K | $744K | +19.1% |
| Tract 101243 | $982K | $1.16M | +18.5% |
| Tract 103500 | $974K | $1.14M | +16.6% |
| Tract 001369 | $693K | $793K | +14.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources