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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 24769, MD · Census Tract 24769905480 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$805K
Downside (P10)
$354K
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$692K
-14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.24M
+54% by 2030
Base case: -14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 30% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $805K | $808K | $709K | $653K | $692K |
| YoY Change | +0.3% | -12.3% | -7.9% | +6.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $413K | $370K | $324K | $354K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$413K to $1.19M
95.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$354K to $1.24M
128.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 905480 | $805K | $692K | -14.0% | |
| Tract 906405 | $787K | $926K | +17.7% | |
| Tract 905228 | $785K | $909K | +15.8% | |
| Tract 906722 | $795K | $915K | +15.0% | |
| Tract 906667 | $802K | $901K | +12.2% | |
| Tract 905684 | $787K | $759K | -3.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 905480 | $805K | $692K | -14.0% | |
| Tract 906609 | $654K | $835K | +27.6% | |
| Tract 905066 | $610K | $734K | +20.4% | |
| Tract 905163 | $734K | $879K | +19.7% | |
| Tract 906421 | $640K | $758K | +18.5% | |
| Tract 906405 | $787K | $926K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 905480 | $805K | $692K | $886K | |
| Tract 000246 | $2.78M | $2.31M | $595K | |
| Tract 906421 | $640K | $758K | $591K | |
| Tract 000547 | $2.62M | $2.10M | $544K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources