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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 24770, MD · Census Tract 24770001069 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$3.99M
Downside (P10)
$1.58M
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.43M
-39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.13M
-21% by 2030
Base case: -39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to -21%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.0M | $3.7M | $3.1M | $2.6M | $2.4M |
| YoY Change | -7.7% | -15.8% | -16.0% | -6.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.6M | $2.1M | $1.7M | $1.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.3M | $3.7M | $3.2M | $3.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$2.59M to $4.30M
46.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.58M to $3.13M
63.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001069 | $3.99M | $2.43M | -39.0% | |
| Tract 000905 | $4.02M | $2.72M | -32.4% | |
| Tract 000387 | $4.10M | $2.72M | -33.7% | |
| Tract 000060 | $4.06M | $2.50M | -38.4% | |
| Tract 000989 | $3.97M | $2.44M | -38.6% | |
| Tract 001140 | $4.01M | $2.41M | -39.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001069 | $3.99M | $2.43M | -39.0% | |
| Tract 000905 | $4.02M | $2.72M | -32.4% | |
| Tract 000387 | $4.10M | $2.72M | -33.7% | |
| Tract 000688 | $4.96M | $3.19M | -35.5% | |
| Tract 000028 | $4.54M | $2.90M | -36.2% | |
| Tract 000167 | $4.60M | $2.92M | -36.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001069 | $3.99M | $2.43M | $1.55M | |
| Tract 000468 | $4.25M | $2.44M | $1.59M | |
| Tract 000581 | $3.76M | $2.16M | $1.59M | |
| Tract 000882 | $4.78M | $2.86M | $1.54M | |
| Tract 001001 | $4.77M | $2.77M | $1.52M | |
| Tract 000167 | $4.60M | $2.92M | $1.44M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources