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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 24778, MD · Census Tract 24778003409 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$375K
Downside (P10)
$437K
+17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$556K
+48% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$712K
+90% by 2030
Base case: +48% by 2030, with a forecast range from +17% to +90%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $375K | $420K | $467K | $502K | $556K |
| YoY Change | +12.0% | +11.4% | +7.5% | +10.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $347K | $364K | $403K | $437K | |
| Upside (P90) | $500K | $570K | $641K | $712K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$347K to $500K
36.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$437K to $712K
49.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003409 | $375K | $556K | +48.3% | |
| Tract 001184 | $378K | $536K | +41.7% | |
| Tract 000347 | $374K | $524K | +40.0% | |
| Tract 002662 | $365K | $503K | +38.0% | |
| Tract 002565 | $370K | $505K | +36.5% | |
| Tract 003027 | $372K | $428K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003409 | $375K | $556K | +48.3% | |
| Tract 006684 | $450K | $742K | +65.0% | |
| Tract 006723 | $439K | $719K | +63.8% | |
| Tract 007065 | $530K | $830K | +56.7% | |
| Tract 007023 | $431K | $668K | +55.0% | |
| Tract 006383 | $424K | $656K | +54.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003409 | $375K | $556K | $275K | |
| Tract 001582 | $265K | $317K | $170K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources