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County 24787, MD · Census Tract 24787002844 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$343K
Downside (P10)
$310K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$460K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$685K
+100% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +100%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $343K | $369K | $393K | $416K | $460K |
| YoY Change | +7.7% | +6.6% | +5.8% | +10.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $285K | $308K | $307K | $310K | |
| Upside (P90) | $464K | $540K | $609K | $685K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$285K to $464K
48.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$310K to $685K
81.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002844 | $343K | $460K | +34.2% | |
| Tract 004321 | $339K | $516K | +52.1% | |
| Tract 002048 | $345K | $482K | +39.7% | |
| Tract 002103 | $342K | $452K | +32.1% | |
| Tract 000642 | $340K | $449K | +32.0% | |
| Tract 003005 | $343K | $429K | +25.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002844 | $343K | $460K | +34.2% | |
| Tract 004321 | $339K | $516K | +52.1% | |
| Tract 004004 | $315K | $479K | +52.0% | |
| Tract 005427 | $327K | $492K | +50.5% | |
| Tract 003461 | $427K | $631K | +47.6% | |
| Tract 003649 | $370K | $543K | +46.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002844 | $343K | $460K | $376K | |
| Tract 006125 | $312K | $417K | $230K | |
| Tract 005841 | $335K | $437K | $230K | |
| Tract 005728 | $296K | $385K | $221K | |
| Tract 005126 | $292K | $383K | $214K | |
| Tract 005825 | $300K | $421K | $209K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources