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County 24805, MD · Census Tract 24805000605 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$226K
Downside (P10)
$230K
+2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$323K
+43% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$473K
+110% by 2030
Base case: +43% by 2030, with a forecast range from +2% to +110%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $226K | $267K | $278K | $299K | $323K |
| YoY Change | +18.5% | +4.2% | +7.3% | +8.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $213K | $204K | $208K | $230K | |
| Upside (P90) | $348K | $385K | $435K | $473K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$213K to $348K
50.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$230K to $473K
75.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000605 | $226K | $323K | +43.3% | |
| Tract 000582 | $221K | $339K | +53.0% | |
| Tract 000126 | $223K | $333K | +49.5% | |
| Tract 000265 | $226K | $334K | +47.6% | |
| Tract 000841 | $230K | $337K | +46.4% | |
| Tract 000728 | $229K | $328K | +43.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000605 | $226K | $323K | +43.3% | |
| Tract 000582 | $221K | $339K | +53.0% | |
| Tract 000647 | $232K | $347K | +49.8% | |
| Tract 000126 | $223K | $333K | +49.5% | |
| Tract 000265 | $226K | $334K | +47.6% | |
| Tract 000841 | $230K | $337K | +46.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000605 | $226K | $323K | $243K | |
| Tract 000728 | $229K | $328K | $266K | |
| Tract 000168 | $235K | $337K | $263K | |
| Tract 000841 | $230K | $337K | $254K | |
| Tract 000265 | $226K | $334K | $249K | |
| Tract 000786 | $234K | $340K | $237K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources