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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Harford, MD · ZIP 21040 · Census Tract 24025301302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$197K
Downside (P10)
$167K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$219K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$298K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $128K | $122K | $122K | $130K | $139K | $139K | $139K | $165K | $175K | $188K | $197K | $200K | $210K | $219K |
| YoY Change | -4.2% | -0.1% | +6.0% | +7.1% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +18.1% | +6.1% | +7.5% | +4.9% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +4.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $169K | $173K | $167K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $230K | $243K | $298K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$169K to $230K
30.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$167K to $298K
59.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgewood | $191K | $219K | +14.2% | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads (Tract 302802) | $237K | $270K | +14.0% | |
| Edgewood | $239K | $271K | +13.5% | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads (Tract 302901) | $160K | $181K | +13.2% | |
| Aberdeen | $236K | $258K | +9.4% | |
| Riverside | $238K | $252K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgewood | $191K | $219K | +14.2% | |
| 4, Marshall | $461K | $541K | +17.2% | |
| 3, Bel Air | $422K | $495K | +17.2% | |
| 5, Dublin | $418K | $486K | +16.1% | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| 1, Abingdon | $327K | $374K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgewood | $191K | $219K | $131K | |
| Edgewood | $239K | $271K | $152K | |
| Joppatowne | $324K | $348K | $150K | |
| 3, Bel Air | $292K | $315K | $145K | |
| Aberdeen | $236K | $258K | $140K | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads | $160K | $181K | $85K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.