County 23896, ME · Census Tract 23896500500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.51M
Downside (P10)
$1.62M
-35% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.21M
-12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.16M
+26% by 2030
Base case: -12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -35% to +26%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 23896 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.5M | $2.8M | $2.5M | $2.2M | $2.2M |
| YoY Change | +10.6% | -9.0% | -14.0% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.2M | $1.9M | $1.6M | $1.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.6M | $3.3M | $2.9M | $3.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.22M to $3.07M
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.62M to $3.16M
69.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501208 | $2.51M | $2.15M | -14.4% |
| Tract 500665 | $2.48M | $2.12M | -14.6% |
| Tract 501460 | $2.48M | $1.94M | -21.7% |
| Tract 501525 | $2.57M | $2.07M | -19.5% |
| Tract 502003 | $2.58M | $2.15M | -16.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 804183 | $589K | $859K | +45.8% |
| Tract 804701 | $563K | $800K | +42.0% |
| Tract 804400 | $614K | $869K | +41.5% |
| Tract 804565 | $496K | $697K | +40.6% |
| Tract 805564 | $973K | $1.37M | +40.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources