County 23896, ME · Census Tract 23896501127 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.23M
Downside (P10)
$1.91M
-41% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.63M
-18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.45M
+7% by 2030
Base case: -18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -41% to +7%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 23896 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.2M | $3.4M | $3.0M | $2.6M | $2.6M |
| YoY Change | +4.2% | -11.1% | -12.7% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.9M | $2.4M | $1.9M | $1.9M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.0M | $3.8M | $3.3M | $3.5M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.96M to $3.62M
20.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.91M to $3.45M
58.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501923 | $3.24M | $2.63M | -18.8% |
| Tract 501907 | $3.09M | $2.35M | -23.7% |
| Tract 502621 | $3.38M | $2.56M | -24.3% |
| Tract 500487 | $3.04M | $2.45M | -19.6% |
| Tract 502647 | $3.00M | $2.38M | -20.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 804183 | $589K | $859K | +45.8% |
| Tract 804701 | $563K | $800K | +42.0% |
| Tract 804400 | $614K | $869K | +41.5% |
| Tract 804565 | $496K | $697K | +40.6% |
| Tract 805564 | $973K | $1.37M | +40.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources