County 23945, ME · Census Tract 23945009402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.08M
Downside (P10)
$452K
-58% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$882K
-18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.53M
+42% by 2030
Base case: -18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -58% to +42%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 23945 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $938K | $874K | $882K |
| YoY Change | -0.9% | -12.3% | -6.8% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $672K | $514K | $447K | $452K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$741K to $1.38M
59.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$452K to $1.53M
121.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010501 | $1.08M | $811K | -24.7% |
| Tract 011458 | $1.07M | $917K | -14.2% |
| Tract 011908 | $1.17M | $887K | -24.3% |
| Tract 010255 | $979K | $878K | -10.3% |
| Tract 011403 | $976K | $810K | -17.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 657100 | $454K | $594K | +30.9% |
| Tract 659454 | $448K | $578K | +29.0% |
| Tract 660100 | $449K | $577K | +28.5% |
| Tract 657155 | $490K | $620K | +26.4% |
| Tract 659409 | $480K | $603K | +25.7% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources