County 23899, ME · Census Tract 23899000382 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.42M
Downside (P10)
$776K
-45% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.26M
-11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.75M
+24% by 2030
Base case: -11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -45% to +24%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 23899 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +1.0% | -7.9% | -5.7% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $891K | $773K | $776K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.22M to $1.63M
29.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$776K to $1.75M
77.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000120 | $1.40M | $1.13M | -19.5% |
| Tract 000780 | $1.45M | $1.23M | -15.4% |
| Tract 000162 | $1.46M | $1.24M | -15.2% |
| Tract 000463 | $1.35M | $1.18M | -12.2% |
| Tract 000829 | $1.30M | $1.04M | -19.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 101320 | $649K | $889K | +36.8% |
| Tract 102002 | $800K | $1.08M | +35.2% |
| Tract 101786 | $651K | $864K | +32.7% |
| Tract 101582 | $813K | $1.07M | +31.2% |
| Tract 101524 | $827K | $1.08M | +30.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100525 | $646K | $798K | $478K |
| Tract 101168 | $653K | $807K | $512K |
| Tract 100703 | $649K | $830K | $537K |
| Tract 100185 | $746K | $937K | $542K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources