Lincoln, ME · ZIP 04576 · Census Tract 23015976200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$425K
Downside (P10)
$351K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$442K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$659K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +55%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Lincoln markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $274K | $277K | $283K | $284K | $283K | $280K | $305K | $383K | $383K | $413K | $425K | $434K | $461K | $442K |
| YoY Change | +1.0% | +2.2% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -1.3% | +8.8% | +25.7% | +0.1% | +7.8% | +2.9% | +2.0% | +6.3% | -4.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $369K | $368K | $351K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $566K | $607K | $659K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$369K to $566K
45.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$351K to $659K
69.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boothbay Harbor area | $419K | $442K | +5.6% | |
| Bristol area | $418K | $456K | +9.1% | |
| South Bristol | $477K | $516K | +8.1% | |
| Newcastle area | $371K | $376K | +1.5% | |
| Nobleboro area | $368K | $403K | +9.5% | |
| Boothbay | $346K | $352K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boothbay Harbor area | $419K | $442K | +5.6% | |
| Nobleboro area | $368K | $403K | +9.5% | |
| Bristol area | $418K | $456K | +9.1% | |
| Jefferson area | $267K | $290K | +8.4% | |
| South Bristol | $477K | $516K | +8.1% | |
| Wiscasset area | $319K | $344K | +8.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boothbay Harbor area | $419K | $442K | $307K | |
| Waldoboro | $278K | $297K | $153K | |
| Boothbay | $346K | $352K | $160K | |
| Wiscasset area | $319K | $344K | $166K | |
| Newcastle area | $371K | $376K | $199K | |
| Jefferson area | $267K | $290K | $199K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.