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Somerset, ME · ZIP 04961 · Census Tract 23025966300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$180K
Downside (P10)
$157K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$209K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$273K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $121K | $124K | $123K | $127K | $116K | $122K | $152K | $163K | $171K | $180K | $186K | $200K | $209K |
| YoY Change | +0.9% | +2.8% | -0.8% | +2.5% | -8.5% | +5.1% | +25.0% | +6.8% | +5.2% | +5.1% | +3.5% | +7.5% | +4.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $160K | $163K | $157K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $216K | $233K | $273K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$160K to $216K
29.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$157K to $273K
55.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embden area | $175K | $209K | +19.5% | |
| Athens area | $177K | $197K | +11.1% | |
| Fairfield | $172K | $200K | +16.2% | |
| Jackman area | $171K | $193K | +12.7% | |
| Skowhegan | $189K | $208K | +10.3% | |
| Near Canaan | $167K | $177K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embden area | $175K | $209K | +19.5% | |
| Norridgewock | $154K | $181K | +17.4% | |
| Fairfield | $172K | $200K | +16.2% | |
| Hartland | $142K | $162K | +13.8% | |
| Pittsfield | $166K | $188K | +12.8% | |
| Jackman area | $171K | $193K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embden area | $175K | $209K | $116K | |
| Hartland | $142K | $162K | $70K | |
| Anson | $122K | $128K | $80K | |
| Near Canaan | $167K | $177K | $81K | |
| Jackman area | $171K | $193K | $85K | |
| Palmyra | $155K | $166K | $90K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.