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Alpena, MI · ZIP 49707 · Census Tract 26007000700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$159K
Downside (P10)
$127K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$178K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$249K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $95K | $97K | $97K | $97K | $101K | $107K | $100K | $118K | $130K | $152K | $159K | $165K | $176K | $178K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | +0.2% | +0.6% | +4.0% | +5.3% | -6.6% | +18.6% | +10.2% | +16.6% | +4.5% | +3.9% | +6.6% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $136K | $132K | $127K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $203K | $236K | $249K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$136K to $203K
40.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$127K to $249K
68.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson area · Alpena · (Tract 7) | $155K | $178K | +14.9% | |
| Alpena | $136K | $158K | +16.4% | |
| Long Rapids area | $136K | $153K | +12.2% | |
| Sanborn area | $173K | $192K | +10.9% | |
| Ossineke area | $172K | $180K | +4.8% | |
| Wilson area | $164K | $168K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson area · Alpena · (Tract 7) | $155K | $178K | +14.9% | |
| Alpena (Tract 000800) | $136K | $158K | +16.4% | |
| Alpena (Tract 000400) | $76K | $88K | +16.2% | |
| Alpena (Tract 000300) | $246K | $279K | +13.6% | |
| Long Rapids area | $136K | $153K | +12.2% | |
| Sanborn area | $173K | $192K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson area · Alpena · (Tract 7) | $155K | $178K | $122K | |
| Ossineke area | $172K | $180K | $88K | |
| Alpena (Tract 000500) | $116K | $126K | $81K | |
| Long Rapids area | $136K | $153K | $81K | |
| Alpena (Tract 000800) | $136K | $158K | $77K | |
| Alpena (Tract 000400) | $76K | $88K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.