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Benzie, MI · ZIP 49640 · Census Tract 26019000200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$321K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$342K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$459K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $168K | $172K | $179K | $182K | $196K | $216K | $256K | $288K | $290K | $319K | $321K | $331K | $339K | $342K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$153,798 | -$149,098 | -$142,398 | -$139,598 | -$124,898 | -$105,398 | -$65,798 | -$32,898 | -$30,998 | -$2,298 | +$9,505 | +$17,576 | +$20,204 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.9% | -46.4% | -44.3% | -43.4% | -38.9% | -32.8% | -20.5% | -10.2% | -9.6% | -0.7% | +3.0% | +5.5% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $281K | $286K | $292K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $402K | $431K | $459K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$281K to $402K
36.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$292K to $459K
48.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platte area | $323K | $342K | +5.8% | |
| Colfax area | $209K | $243K | +16.1% | |
| Lake area | $386K | $429K | +11.1% | |
| Joyfield area | $275K | $298K | +8.4% | |
| Crystal Lake | $354K | $373K | +5.4% | |
| Almira | $282K | $288K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platte area | $323K | $342K | +5.8% | |
| Colfax area | $209K | $243K | +16.1% | |
| Lake area | $386K | $429K | +11.1% | |
| Joyfield area | $275K | $298K | +8.4% | |
| Crystal Lake | $354K | $373K | +5.4% | |
| Almira | $282K | $288K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platte area | $323K | $342K | $166K | |
| Lake area | $386K | $429K | $196K | |
| Crystal Lake | $354K | $373K | $186K | |
| Joyfield area | $275K | $298K | $146K | |
| Almira | $282K | $288K | $139K | |
| Colfax area | $209K | $243K | $139K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Benzie, MI · ZIP 49640 · Census Tract 26019000200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$321K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$342K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$459K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $168K | $172K | $179K | $182K | $196K | $216K | $256K | $288K | $290K | $319K | $321K | $331K | $339K | $342K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$153,798 | -$149,098 | -$142,398 | -$139,598 | -$124,898 | -$105,398 | -$65,798 | -$32,898 | -$30,998 | -$2,298 | +$9,505 | +$17,576 | +$20,204 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.9% | -46.4% | -44.3% | -43.4% | -38.9% | -32.8% | -20.5% | -10.2% | -9.6% | -0.7% | +3.0% | +5.5% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $281K | $286K | $292K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $402K | $431K | $459K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$281K to $402K
36.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$292K to $459K
48.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platte area | $323K | $342K | +5.8% | |
| Colfax area | $209K | $243K | +16.1% | |
| Lake area | $386K | $429K | +11.1% | |
| Joyfield area | $275K | $298K | +8.4% | |
| Crystal Lake | $354K | $373K | +5.4% | |
| Almira | $282K | $288K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platte area | $323K | $342K | +5.8% | |
| Colfax area | $209K | $243K | +16.1% | |
| Lake area | $386K | $429K | +11.1% | |
| Joyfield area | $275K | $298K | +8.4% | |
| Crystal Lake | $354K | $373K | +5.4% | |
| Almira | $282K | $288K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platte area | $323K | $342K | $166K | |
| Lake area | $386K | $429K | $196K | |
| Crystal Lake | $354K | $373K | $186K | |
| Joyfield area | $275K | $298K | $146K | |
| Almira | $282K | $288K | $139K | |
| Colfax area | $209K | $243K | $139K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
