County 26042, MI · Census Tract 26042500623 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$353K
Downside (P10)
$305K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$499K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$787K
+123% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +123%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 26042 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $353K | $381K | $405K | $431K | $499K |
| YoY Change | +8.1% | +6.3% | +6.5% | +15.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $293K | $279K | $284K | $305K | |
| Upside (P90) | $517K | $610K | $719K | $787K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$300K to $439K
39.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$305K to $787K
96.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500665 | $352K | $504K | +43.2% |
| Tract 501761 | $353K | $516K | +46.0% |
| Tract 500322 | $351K | $518K | +47.4% |
| Tract 501004 | $349K | $465K | +33.2% |
| Tract 501826 | $356K | $478K | +34.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 601865 | $330K | $518K | +56.9% |
| Tract 500940 | $346K | $522K | +50.8% |
| Tract 601564 | $291K | $438K | +50.7% |
| Tract 601166 | $295K | $439K | +48.9% |
| Tract 500445 | $356K | $528K | +48.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 601182 | $293K | $409K | $297K |
| Tract 600840 | $308K | $428K | $299K |
| Tract 602220 | $296K | $423K | $311K |
| Tract 601166 | $295K | $439K | $321K |
| Tract 601043 | $288K | $423K | $324K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources