County 26142, MI · Census Tract 26142500921 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$283K
Downside (P10)
$277K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$393K
+39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$575K
+103% by 2030
Base case: +39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +103%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 26142 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $283K | $322K | $347K | $357K | $393K |
| YoY Change | +13.6% | +7.9% | +2.8% | +10.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $249K | $252K | $247K | $277K | |
| Upside (P90) | $412K | $463K | $511K | $575K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$241K to $345K
36.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$277K to $575K
75.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501027 | $281K | $409K | +45.1% |
| Tract 501823 | $276K | $383K | +38.6% |
| Tract 501344 | $273K | $383K | +40.2% |
| Tract 500125 | $268K | $399K | +48.9% |
| Tract 500701 | $267K | $395K | +48.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500484 | $333K | $509K | +53.1% |
| Tract 500125 | $268K | $399K | +48.9% |
| Tract 500701 | $267K | $395K | +48.1% |
| Tract 501409 | $265K | $390K | +47.3% |
| Tract 500044 | $317K | $465K | +46.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501344 | $273K | $383K | $277K |
| Tract 500222 | $264K | $382K | $287K |
| Tract 501409 | $265K | $390K | $288K |
| Tract 501823 | $276K | $383K | $303K |
| Tract 500125 | $268K | $399K | $317K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources