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Grand Traverse, MI · ZIP 49690 · Census Tract 26055550101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$314K
Downside (P10)
$234K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$340K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$454K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $185K | $196K | $195K | $208K | $239K | $241K | $233K | $277K | $292K | $308K | $314K | $321K | $331K | $340K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$129,845 | -$118,845 | -$119,245 | -$106,445 | -$75,645 | -$73,845 | -$81,045 | -$37,745 | -$22,345 | -$6,745 | +$6,373 | +$16,550 | +$25,967 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.3% | -37.8% | -37.9% | -33.9% | -24.1% | -23.5% | -25.8% | -12.0% | -7.1% | -2.1% | +2.0% | +5.3% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $264K | $240K | $234K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $405K | $439K | $454K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$264K to $405K
43.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$234K to $454K
64.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bay area | $312K | $340K | +9.1% | |
| Green Lake area | $349K | $388K | +11.1% | |
| Blair area | $315K | $345K | +9.2% | |
| Union area | $291K | $318K | +9.1% | |
| Garfield | $354K | $372K | +5.2% | |
| Mayfield area | $269K | $282K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bay area | $312K | $340K | +9.1% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012263) | $602K | $822K | +36.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $961K | +32.5% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011002) | $552K | $666K | +20.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011565) | $638K | $727K | +13.9% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010427) | $633K | $715K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bay area | $312K | $340K | $220K | |
| Traverse City area | $253K | $270K | $158K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551301) | $266K | $289K | $147K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551303) | $184K | $202K | $141K | |
| Paradise | $267K | $301K | $139K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551302) | $91K | $95K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Grand Traverse, MI · ZIP 49690 · Census Tract 26055550101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$314K
Downside (P10)
$234K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$340K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$454K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $185K | $196K | $195K | $208K | $239K | $241K | $233K | $277K | $292K | $308K | $314K | $321K | $331K | $340K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$129,845 | -$118,845 | -$119,245 | -$106,445 | -$75,645 | -$73,845 | -$81,045 | -$37,745 | -$22,345 | -$6,745 | +$6,373 | +$16,550 | +$25,967 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.3% | -37.8% | -37.9% | -33.9% | -24.1% | -23.5% | -25.8% | -12.0% | -7.1% | -2.1% | +2.0% | +5.3% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $264K | $240K | $234K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $405K | $439K | $454K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$264K to $405K
43.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$234K to $454K
64.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bay area | $312K | $340K | +9.1% | |
| Green Lake area | $349K | $388K | +11.1% | |
| Blair area | $315K | $345K | +9.2% | |
| Union area | $291K | $318K | +9.1% | |
| Garfield | $354K | $372K | +5.2% | |
| Mayfield area | $269K | $282K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bay area | $312K | $340K | +9.1% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012263) | $602K | $822K | +36.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $961K | +32.5% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011002) | $552K | $666K | +20.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011565) | $638K | $727K | +13.9% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010427) | $633K | $715K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bay area | $312K | $340K | $220K | |
| Traverse City area | $253K | $270K | $158K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551301) | $266K | $289K | $147K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551303) | $184K | $202K | $141K | |
| Paradise | $267K | $301K | $139K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551302) | $91K | $95K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
