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Grand Traverse, MI · ZIP 49686 · Census Tract 26055551000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$442K
Downside (P10)
$381K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$489K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$609K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $218K | $242K | $256K | $278K | $303K | $312K | $339K | $382K | $409K | $441K | $442K | $457K | $477K | $489K | $460K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$223,586 | -$199,986 | -$186,086 | -$164,486 | -$138,986 | -$130,086 | -$103,486 | -$60,186 | -$32,586 | -$786 | +$15,152 | +$34,934 | +$47,396 | +$17,514 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.6% | -45.2% | -42.1% | -37.2% | -31.4% | -29.4% | -23.4% | -13.6% | -7.4% | -0.2% | +3.4% | +7.9% | +10.7% | +4.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $383K | $380K | $381K | $412K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $534K | $566K | $609K | $516K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$383K to $534K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$412K to $516K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City area | $448K | $489K | +9.3% | |
| Long Lake | $457K | $506K | +10.8% | |
| Acme area | $408K | $450K | +10.4% | |
| Traverse City area | $402K | $433K | +7.7% | |
| Long Lake area | $417K | $445K | +6.9% | |
| East Bay | $423K | $443K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City area | $448K | $489K | +9.3% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012263) | $602K | $822K | +36.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $961K | +32.5% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011002) | $552K | $666K | +20.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011565) | $638K | $727K | +13.9% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010427) | $633K | $715K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City area | $448K | $489K | $227K | |
| Traverse City area | $253K | $270K | $158K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551301) | $266K | $289K | $147K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551303) | $184K | $202K | $141K | |
| Paradise | $267K | $301K | $139K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551302) | $91K | $95K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Grand Traverse, MI · ZIP 49686 · Census Tract 26055551000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$442K
Downside (P10)
$381K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$489K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$609K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $218K | $242K | $256K | $278K | $303K | $312K | $339K | $382K | $409K | $441K | $442K | $457K | $477K | $489K | $460K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$223,586 | -$199,986 | -$186,086 | -$164,486 | -$138,986 | -$130,086 | -$103,486 | -$60,186 | -$32,586 | -$786 | +$15,152 | +$34,934 | +$47,396 | +$17,514 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.6% | -45.2% | -42.1% | -37.2% | -31.4% | -29.4% | -23.4% | -13.6% | -7.4% | -0.2% | +3.4% | +7.9% | +10.7% | +4.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $383K | $380K | $381K | $412K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $534K | $566K | $609K | $516K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$383K to $534K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$412K to $516K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City area | $448K | $489K | +9.3% | |
| Long Lake | $457K | $506K | +10.8% | |
| Acme area | $408K | $450K | +10.4% | |
| Traverse City area | $402K | $433K | +7.7% | |
| Long Lake area | $417K | $445K | +6.9% | |
| East Bay | $423K | $443K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City area | $448K | $489K | +9.3% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012263) | $602K | $822K | +36.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $961K | +32.5% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011002) | $552K | $666K | +20.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011565) | $638K | $727K | +13.9% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010427) | $633K | $715K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City area | $448K | $489K | $227K | |
| Traverse City area | $253K | $270K | $158K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551301) | $266K | $289K | $147K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551303) | $184K | $202K | $141K | |
| Paradise | $267K | $301K | $139K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551302) | $91K | $95K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
