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Grand Traverse, MI · ZIP 49686 · Census Tract 26055551200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$370K
Downside (P10)
$314K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$397K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$476K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $153K | $160K | $174K | $192K | $208K | $237K | $277K | $300K | $357K | $370K | $379K | $387K | $397K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$219,308 | -$217,108 | -$209,508 | -$196,208 | -$178,108 | -$161,708 | -$133,308 | -$92,408 | -$70,108 | -$12,408 | +$8,997 | +$16,950 | +$27,317 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -59.3% | -58.7% | -56.7% | -53.1% | -48.2% | -43.7% | -36.0% | -25.0% | -19.0% | -3.4% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +7.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $334K | $337K | $314K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $428K | $463K | $476K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$334K to $428K
24.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$314K to $476K
40.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City | $364K | $397K | +9.2% | |
| Green Lake area | $349K | $388K | +11.1% | |
| Acme area | $408K | $450K | +10.4% | |
| Long Lake | $361K | $395K | +9.4% | |
| Traverse City area | $402K | $433K | +7.7% | |
| Garfield | $354K | $372K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City | $364K | $397K | +9.2% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012263) | $602K | $822K | +36.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $961K | +32.5% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011002) | $552K | $666K | +20.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011565) | $638K | $727K | +13.9% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010427) | $633K | $715K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City | $364K | $397K | $163K | |
| Traverse City area | $253K | $270K | $158K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551301) | $266K | $289K | $147K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551303) | $184K | $202K | $141K | |
| Paradise | $267K | $301K | $139K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551302) | $91K | $95K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Grand Traverse, MI · ZIP 49686 · Census Tract 26055551200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$370K
Downside (P10)
$314K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$397K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$476K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $153K | $160K | $174K | $192K | $208K | $237K | $277K | $300K | $357K | $370K | $379K | $387K | $397K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$219,308 | -$217,108 | -$209,508 | -$196,208 | -$178,108 | -$161,708 | -$133,308 | -$92,408 | -$70,108 | -$12,408 | +$8,997 | +$16,950 | +$27,317 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -59.3% | -58.7% | -56.7% | -53.1% | -48.2% | -43.7% | -36.0% | -25.0% | -19.0% | -3.4% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +7.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $334K | $337K | $314K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $428K | $463K | $476K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$334K to $428K
24.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$314K to $476K
40.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City | $364K | $397K | +9.2% | |
| Green Lake area | $349K | $388K | +11.1% | |
| Acme area | $408K | $450K | +10.4% | |
| Long Lake | $361K | $395K | +9.4% | |
| Traverse City area | $402K | $433K | +7.7% | |
| Garfield | $354K | $372K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City | $364K | $397K | +9.2% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012263) | $602K | $822K | +36.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $961K | +32.5% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011002) | $552K | $666K | +20.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011565) | $638K | $727K | +13.9% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010427) | $633K | $715K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City | $364K | $397K | $163K | |
| Traverse City area | $253K | $270K | $158K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551301) | $266K | $289K | $147K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551303) | $184K | $202K | $141K | |
| Paradise | $267K | $301K | $139K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551302) | $91K | $95K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
