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Houghton, MI · ZIP 49965 · Census Tract 26061000700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$220K
Downside (P10)
$172K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$239K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$308K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $92K | $105K | $117K | $119K | $139K | $166K | $188K | $188K | $209K | $220K | $229K | $240K | $239K |
| YoY Change | -12.5% | +14.7% | +10.6% | +1.8% | +16.7% | +19.6% | +13.5% | +0.1% | +11.1% | +5.3% | +3.9% | +4.8% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $188K | $172K | $172K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $271K | $290K | $308K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$188K to $271K
36.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$172K to $308K
56.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams area | $213K | $239K | +12.0% | |
| Portage | $238K | $263K | +10.6% | |
| Portage area | $203K | $215K | +6.1% | |
| Torch Lake area | $212K | $224K | +5.7% | |
| Franklin area | $237K | $250K | +5.3% | |
| Laird area | $169K | $172K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams area | $213K | $239K | +12.0% | |
| Hancock | $128K | $146K | +13.7% | |
| Schoolcraft area | $106K | $120K | +13.6% | |
| Portage | $238K | $263K | +10.6% | |
| Portage area | $203K | $215K | +6.1% | |
| Osceola area | $108K | $114K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams area | $213K | $239K | $136K | |
| Portage area | $203K | $215K | $99K | |
| Hancock | $128K | $146K | $78K | |
| Osceola area (Tract 000400) | $108K | $114K | $73K | |
| Schoolcraft area | $106K | $120K | $71K | |
| Osceola area (Tract 000300) | $90K | $93K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.