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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Mecosta, MI · Census Tract 26107004365 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.99M
Downside (P10)
$1.33M
-33% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.68M
-16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.01M
+1% by 2030
Base case: -16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -33% to +1%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.0M | $2.1M | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$127K | -$108K | -$296K | -$311K | |
| Growth % vs 2026 | +6.4% | -5.5% | -14.9% | -15.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.9M | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.5M | $2.2M | $2.0M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.87M to $2.45M
27.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.33M to $2.01M
40.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004365 | $1.99M | $1.68M | -15.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006664) | $2.00M | $1.77M | -11.7% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 000783) | $2.02M | $1.72M | -14.8% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006606) | $1.94M | $1.64M | -15.2% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 002121) | $2.00M | $1.65M | -17.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 000220) | $2.03M | $1.56M | -23.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004365 | $1.99M | $1.68M | -15.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 003120) | $1.30M | $1.43M | +10.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004886) | $1.24M | $1.33M | +7.5% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 005047) | $1.41M | $1.49M | +5.9% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004925) | $1.18M | $1.23M | +3.8% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 005186) | $1.22M | $1.26M | +2.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004365 | $1.99M | $1.68M | $678K | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004226) | $1.91M | $1.77M | $493K | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004802) | $2.06M | $1.72M | $476K | |
| Mecosta (Tract 001588) | $2.23M | $1.71M | $405K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources