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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Mecosta, MI · Census Tract 26107006583 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.57M
Downside (P10)
$1.17M
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.44M
-8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.78M
+14% by 2030
Base case: -8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +14%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.4M |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$151K | +$22K | -$112K | -$126K | |
| Growth % vs 2026 | +9.7% | +1.4% | -7.2% | -8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.55M to $1.99M
25.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.17M to $1.78M
42.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006583 | $1.57M | $1.44M | -8.0% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006282) | $1.64M | $1.51M | -8.0% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006127) | $1.46M | $1.33M | -8.9% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006169) | $1.53M | $1.38M | -9.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006088) | $1.54M | $1.38M | -10.4% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 000149) | $1.63M | $1.24M | -23.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006583 | $1.57M | $1.44M | -8.0% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 003120) | $1.30M | $1.43M | +10.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004886) | $1.24M | $1.33M | +7.5% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 005047) | $1.41M | $1.49M | +5.9% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004925) | $1.18M | $1.23M | +3.8% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 005186) | $1.22M | $1.26M | +2.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006583 | $1.57M | $1.44M | $612K | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004226) | $1.91M | $1.77M | $493K | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004802) | $2.06M | $1.72M | $476K | |
| Mecosta (Tract 001588) | $2.23M | $1.71M | $405K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources