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Oakland, MI · ZIP 48178 · Census Tract 26125139201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$221K
Downside (P10)
$152K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$225K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$285K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $137K | $154K | $192K | $216K | $221K | $223K | $222K | $225K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$100,823 | -$84,423 | -$67,423 | -$29,023 | -$5,123 | +$2,182 | +$1,111 | +$4,444 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.6% | -38.2% | -30.5% | -13.1% | -2.3% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +2.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $178K | $167K | $152K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $258K | $275K | $285K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$178K to $258K
35.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$152K to $285K
59.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Lyon | $216K | $225K | +4.4% | |
| Auburn Hills (Tract 140101) | $214K | $239K | +11.8% | |
| Auburn Hills (Tract 140600) | $219K | $244K | +11.2% | |
| Pontiac | $217K | $240K | +10.9% | |
| Auburn Hills (Tract 140500) | $214K | $236K | +10.3% | |
| Auburn Hills (Tract 140700) | $226K | $240K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Lyon | $216K | $225K | +4.4% | |
| Commerce | $364K | $442K | +21.3% | |
| White Lake | $382K | $463K | +21.2% | |
| Orion | $280K | $329K | +17.5% | |
| Pontiac | $108K | $126K | +17.0% | |
| Waterford | $362K | $424K | +17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Lyon | $216K | $225K | $133K | |
| Pontiac (Tract 142700) | $108K | $126K | $55K | |
| Pontiac (Tract 142300) | $109K | $120K | $51K | |
| Pontiac (Tract 141600) | $85K | $96K | $47K | |
| Pontiac (Tract 141700) | $65K | $76K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Oakland, MI · ZIP 48178 · Census Tract 26125139201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$221K
Downside (P10)
$152K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$225K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$285K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $137K | $154K | $192K | $216K | $221K | $223K | $222K | $225K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$100,823 | -$84,423 | -$67,423 | -$29,023 | -$5,123 | +$2,182 | +$1,111 | +$4,444 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.6% | -38.2% | -30.5% | -13.1% | -2.3% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +2.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $178K | $167K | $152K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $258K | $275K | $285K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$178K to $258K
35.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$152K to $285K
59.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Lyon | $216K | $225K | +4.4% | |
| Auburn Hills (Tract 140101) | $214K | $239K | +11.8% | |
| Auburn Hills (Tract 140600) | $219K | $244K | +11.2% | |
| Pontiac | $217K | $240K | +10.9% | |
| Auburn Hills (Tract 140500) | $214K | $236K | +10.3% | |
| Auburn Hills (Tract 140700) | $226K | $240K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Lyon | $216K | $225K | +4.4% | |
| Commerce | $364K | $442K | +21.3% | |
| White Lake | $382K | $463K | +21.2% | |
| Orion | $280K | $329K | +17.5% | |
| Pontiac | $108K | $126K | +17.0% | |
| Waterford | $362K | $424K | +17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Lyon | $216K | $225K | $133K | |
| Pontiac (Tract 142700) | $108K | $126K | $55K | |
| Pontiac (Tract 142300) | $109K | $120K | $51K | |
| Pontiac (Tract 141600) | $85K | $96K | $47K | |
| Pontiac (Tract 141700) | $65K | $76K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
