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Oceana, MI · Census Tract 26127004387 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$674K
Downside (P10)
$307K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$659K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+65% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 33% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $674K | $689K | $659K | $623K | $659K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$15,295 | -$15,431 | -$51,027 | -$15,401 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +2.3% | -2.3% | -7.6% | -2.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $479K | $366K | $317K | $307K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $977K | $973K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$479K to $977K
72.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$307K to $1.1M
122.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004387 | $674K | $659K | -2.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000569) | $660K | $710K | +7.6% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000624) | $673K | $692K | +2.8% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001704) | $678K | $690K | +1.9% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001649) | $661K | $671K | +1.6% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004060) | $660K | $665K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004387 | $674K | $659K | -2.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004280) | $542K | $659K | +21.8% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001283) | $563K | $659K | +17.1% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000608) | $557K | $648K | +16.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000080) | $619K | $720K | +16.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000828) | $551K | $640K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004387 | $674K | $659K | $807K | |
| Golden | $279K | $302K | $137K | |
| Shelby area | $163K | $173K | $108K | |
| Elbridge area | $154K | $165K | $95K | |
| Ferry area | $179K | $196K | $89K | |
| Hart | $167K | $176K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Oceana, MI · Census Tract 26127004387 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$674K
Downside (P10)
$307K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$659K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+65% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 33% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $674K | $689K | $659K | $623K | $659K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$15,295 | -$15,431 | -$51,027 | -$15,401 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +2.3% | -2.3% | -7.6% | -2.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $479K | $366K | $317K | $307K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $977K | $973K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$479K to $977K
72.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$307K to $1.1M
122.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004387 | $674K | $659K | -2.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000569) | $660K | $710K | +7.6% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000624) | $673K | $692K | +2.8% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001704) | $678K | $690K | +1.9% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001649) | $661K | $671K | +1.6% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004060) | $660K | $665K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004387 | $674K | $659K | -2.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004280) | $542K | $659K | +21.8% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001283) | $563K | $659K | +17.1% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000608) | $557K | $648K | +16.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000080) | $619K | $720K | +16.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000828) | $551K | $640K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004387 | $674K | $659K | $807K | |
| Golden | $279K | $302K | $137K | |
| Shelby area | $163K | $173K | $108K | |
| Elbridge area | $154K | $165K | $95K | |
| Ferry area | $179K | $196K | $89K | |
| Hart | $167K | $176K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
