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Saginaw, MI · Census Tract 26145001184 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$640K
Downside (P10)
$511K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$842K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.41M
+120% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +120%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $640K | $702K | $684K | $760K | $842K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$61,611 | +$43,861 | +$119,391 | +$201,281 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +9.6% | +6.9% | +18.6% | +31.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $553K | $467K | $484K | $511K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $943K | $994K | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$553K to $943K
55.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$511K to $1.4M
107.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001184 | $640K | $842K | +31.4% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003580) | $640K | $872K | +36.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003768) | $641K | $840K | +31.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 001744) | $637K | $760K | +19.3% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 000046) | $642K | $755K | +17.6% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 001906) | $642K | $740K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001184 | $640K | $842K | +31.4% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003085) | $664K | $1.01M | +52.8% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003700) | $678K | $958K | +41.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003580) | $640K | $872K | +36.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003687) | $619K | $842K | +36.1% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003205) | $623K | $838K | +34.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001184 | $640K | $842K | $901K | |
| Saginaw | $56K | $57K | $13K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Saginaw, MI · Census Tract 26145001184 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$640K
Downside (P10)
$511K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$842K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.41M
+120% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +120%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $640K | $702K | $684K | $760K | $842K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$61,611 | +$43,861 | +$119,391 | +$201,281 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +9.6% | +6.9% | +18.6% | +31.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $553K | $467K | $484K | $511K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $943K | $994K | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$553K to $943K
55.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$511K to $1.4M
107.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001184 | $640K | $842K | +31.4% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003580) | $640K | $872K | +36.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003768) | $641K | $840K | +31.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 001744) | $637K | $760K | +19.3% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 000046) | $642K | $755K | +17.6% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 001906) | $642K | $740K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001184 | $640K | $842K | +31.4% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003085) | $664K | $1.01M | +52.8% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003700) | $678K | $958K | +41.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003580) | $640K | $872K | +36.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003687) | $619K | $842K | +36.1% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003205) | $623K | $838K | +34.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001184 | $640K | $842K | $901K | |
| Saginaw | $56K | $57K | $13K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
