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Shiawassee, MI · Census Tract 26155000421 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$379K
Downside (P10)
$285K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$476K
+25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$675K
+78% by 2030
Base case: +25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +78%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $379K | $417K | $425K | $442K | $476K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$37,942 | +$45,658 | +$62,664 | +$96,574 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +10.0% | +12.0% | +16.5% | +25.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $294K | $277K | $272K | $285K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $532K | $578K | $617K | $675K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$294K to $532K
57.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$285K to $675K
81.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000421 | $379K | $476K | +25.5% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000382) | $371K | $491K | +32.3% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000829) | $380K | $479K | +26.1% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000065) | $386K | $484K | +25.3% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000900) | $382K | $476K | +24.5% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000780) | $387K | $480K | +24.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000421 | $379K | $476K | +25.5% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000667) | $324K | $442K | +36.4% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000201) | $340K | $454K | +33.5% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000382) | $371K | $491K | +32.3% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000609) | $336K | $441K | +31.1% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 001006) | $405K | $526K | +30.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000421 | $379K | $476K | $390K | |
| Vernon area | $166K | $169K | $85K | |
| Shiawassee | $202K | $222K | $83K | |
| Owosso (Tract 030800) | $100K | $104K | $60K | |
| Owosso (Tract 030600) | $131K | $134K | $33K | |
| Owosso (Tract 030700) | $98K | $98K | $23K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Shiawassee, MI · Census Tract 26155000421 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$379K
Downside (P10)
$285K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$476K
+25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$675K
+78% by 2030
Base case: +25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +78%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $379K | $417K | $425K | $442K | $476K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$37,942 | +$45,658 | +$62,664 | +$96,574 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +10.0% | +12.0% | +16.5% | +25.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $294K | $277K | $272K | $285K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $532K | $578K | $617K | $675K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$294K to $532K
57.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$285K to $675K
81.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000421 | $379K | $476K | +25.5% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000382) | $371K | $491K | +32.3% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000829) | $380K | $479K | +26.1% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000065) | $386K | $484K | +25.3% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000900) | $382K | $476K | +24.5% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000780) | $387K | $480K | +24.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000421 | $379K | $476K | +25.5% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000667) | $324K | $442K | +36.4% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000201) | $340K | $454K | +33.5% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000382) | $371K | $491K | +32.3% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 000609) | $336K | $441K | +31.1% | |
| Shiawassee (Tract 001006) | $405K | $526K | +30.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000421 | $379K | $476K | $390K | |
| Vernon area | $166K | $169K | $85K | |
| Shiawassee | $202K | $222K | $83K | |
| Owosso (Tract 030800) | $100K | $104K | $60K | |
| Owosso (Tract 030600) | $131K | $134K | $33K | |
| Owosso (Tract 030700) | $98K | $98K | $23K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
