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St. Clair, MI · ZIP 48074 · Census Tract 26147634600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$195K
Downside (P10)
$155K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$202K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$297K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $111K | $112K | $113K | $119K | $122K | $121K | $121K | $159K | $182K | $193K | $195K | $197K | $201K | $202K |
| YoY Change | +0.6% | +1.0% | +5.1% | +2.7% | -1.1% | +0.2% | +31.7% | +14.6% | +5.8% | +1.2% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $164K | $166K | $155K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $247K | $287K | $297K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$164K to $247K
42.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$155K to $297K
70.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimball · Smiths Creek · (Tract 6346) | $195K | $202K | +3.3% | |
| Algonac | $206K | $237K | +15.2% | |
| Kimball | $212K | $238K | +12.2% | |
| Port Huron (Tract 627000) | $198K | $221K | +11.7% | |
| Marysville | $183K | $201K | +10.1% | |
| Port Huron (Tract 628000) | $181K | $196K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimball · Smiths Creek · (Tract 6346) | $195K | $202K | +3.3% | |
| Ira | $235K | $277K | +17.7% | |
| Algonac | $206K | $237K | +15.2% | |
| Clay | $396K | $455K | +15.1% | |
| St. Clair | $324K | $371K | +14.7% | |
| Port Huron | $126K | $144K | +14.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimball · Smiths Creek · (Tract 6346) | $195K | $202K | $143K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 623000) | $118K | $135K | $70K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 622000) | $124K | $135K | $68K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 624000) | $116K | $128K | $67K | |
| Marine City | $159K | $163K | $63K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 621000) | $97K | $102K | $63K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.