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St. Joseph, MI · ZIP 49030 · Census Tract 26149041600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$156K
Downside (P10)
$143K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$174K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$217K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $129K | $135K | $133K | $131K | $128K | $118K | $123K | $139K | $141K | $147K | $156K | $159K | $165K | $174K |
| YoY Change | +4.3% | -1.1% | -1.7% | -2.3% | -8.1% | +4.3% | +13.0% | +1.9% | +4.5% | +6.1% | +1.9% | +3.3% | +5.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $134K | $140K | $143K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $189K | $210K | $217K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$134K to $189K
34.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$143K to $217K
42.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burr Oak | $152K | $174K | +14.6% | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040600) | $149K | $171K | +15.4% | |
| White Pigeon area | $175K | $194K | +11.2% | |
| Constantine | $164K | $182K | +10.7% | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040800) | $161K | $174K | +8.1% | |
| Fabius area | $143K | $153K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burr Oak | $152K | $174K | +14.6% | |
| Sturgis | $149K | $171K | +15.4% | |
| Three Rivers area (Tract 040400) | $117K | $134K | +14.0% | |
| Sherman | $249K | $280K | +12.5% | |
| Three Rivers area (Tract 040200) | $106K | $118K | +11.2% | |
| White Pigeon area | $175K | $194K | +11.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burr Oak | $152K | $174K | $74K | |
| Fabius area | $143K | $153K | $80K | |
| Three Rivers area (Tract 040200) | $106K | $118K | $75K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040600) | $149K | $171K | $71K | |
| Three Rivers area (Tract 040400) | $117K | $134K | $67K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040700) | $111K | $114K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.