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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
St. Joseph, MI · Census Tract 26149200363 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$934K
Downside (P10)
$806K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.29M
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.01M
+115% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +115%. The model forecasts this with 49% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $934K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +12.3% | +3.6% | +6.3% | +11.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $847K | $767K | $757K | $806K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.8M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$847K to $1.37M
49.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$806K to $2.01M
93.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200363 | $934K | $1.29M | +38.0% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200428) | $938K | $1.30M | +38.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200282) | $934K | $1.27M | +35.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201045) | $935K | $1.18M | +25.9% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201029) | $935K | $1.12M | +19.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200169) | $932K | $1.07M | +14.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200363 | $934K | $1.29M | +38.0% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202086) | $967K | $1.37M | +41.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200729) | $999K | $1.40M | +39.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200428) | $938K | $1.30M | +38.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201524) | $985K | $1.36M | +38.4% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201883) | $905K | $1.23M | +36.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200363 | $934K | $1.29M | $1.20M | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203483) | $650K | $776K | $522K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202426) | $671K | $846K | $519K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203205) | $693K | $827K | $518K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203467) | $632K | $792K | $477K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202125) | $800K | $813K | $457K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources