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Becker, MN · ZIP 56464 · Census Tract 27005450100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$267K
Downside (P10)
$227K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$283K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$410K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $168K | $174K | $171K | $169K | $172K | $189K | $192K | $211K | $230K | $257K | $267K | $278K | $289K | $283K |
| YoY Change | +3.2% | -1.9% | -0.8% | +1.6% | +10.1% | +1.7% | +9.8% | +8.9% | +11.5% | +4.1% | +4.0% | +4.1% | -2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $233K | $234K | $227K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $362K | $410K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$233K to $324K
32.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$227K to $410K
64.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Valley area | $264K | $283K | +7.5% | |
| Detroit Lakes (Tract 450600) | $270K | $291K | +7.7% | |
| Erie area | $255K | $278K | +8.9% | |
| Toad Lake area | $241K | $273K | +13.0% | |
| Sugar Bush area | $216K | $249K | +15.3% | |
| Detroit Lakes (Tract 450500) | $206K | $244K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Valley area | $264K | $283K | +7.5% | |
| Detroit Lakes | $206K | $244K | +18.3% | |
| Sugar Bush area | $216K | $249K | +15.3% | |
| Cuba area | $423K | $486K | +14.8% | |
| Toad Lake area | $241K | $273K | +13.0% | |
| Audubon area | $380K | $422K | +10.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Valley area | $264K | $283K | $183K | |
| Detroit Lakes (Tract 450500) | $206K | $244K | $112K | |
| Sugar Bush area | $216K | $249K | $128K | |
| Detroit Lakes (Tract 450600) | $270K | $291K | $139K | |
| Toad Lake area | $241K | $273K | $152K | |
| Erie area | $255K | $278K | $166K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.