What is the home price forecast for Parcel 27019091002 in Chaska · 55318 · (Tract 910.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $468,071 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 27019091002 in Chaska · 55318 · (Tract 910.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $468,071 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

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Parcel 27019091002 (Chaska) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 27019091002, Chaska · 55318 · (Tract 910.2) Home Price Forecast

Carver, MN · ZIP 55318 · Census Tract 27019091002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$468K

Downside (P10)

$410K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$486K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$676K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$275K	$318K	$377K	$393K	$461K	$468K	$484K	$490K	$486K	$483K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$193,471	-$149,971	-$91,071	-$75,171	-$6,671		+$15,857	+$21,896	+$17,861	+$15,313
Growth % vs 2026	-41.3%	-32.0%	-19.5%	-16.1%	-1.4%		+3.4%	+4.7%	+3.8%	+3.3%
Downside (P10)							$433K	$416K	$410K	$429K
Upside (P90)							$565K	$645K	$676K	$545K

Forecast Confidence

87%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$433K to $565K

27.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$429K to $545K

24.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.3% · Spread: 24%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 27019091002, Chaska · 55318 · (Tract 910.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).