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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Clay, MN · ZIP 56560 · Census Tract 27027030106 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$350K
Downside (P10)
$308K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$374K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$530K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $209K | $220K | $225K | $237K | $250K | $267K | $282K | $323K | $341K | $344K | $350K | $353K | $377K | $374K |
| YoY Change | +5.1% | +2.6% | +5.2% | +5.4% | +6.9% | +5.5% | +14.5% | +5.5% | +0.9% | +1.7% | +1.0% | +6.7% | -0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $305K | $309K | $308K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $446K | $493K | $530K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$305K to $446K
39.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$308K to $530K
59.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorhead area | $352K | $374K | +6.2% | |
| Moorhead | $299K | $352K | +17.6% | |
| Holy Cross area | $323K | $351K | +8.8% | |
| Morken area | $322K | $347K | +7.5% | |
| Glyndon area | $322K | $334K | +3.9% | |
| Keene area | $317K | $327K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorhead area | $352K | $374K | +6.2% | |
| Moorhead (Tract 030108) | $299K | $352K | +17.6% | |
| Moorhead (Tract 020600) | $246K | $274K | +11.5% | |
| Moorhead (Tract 020700) | $177K | $194K | +9.6% | |
| Holy Cross area | $323K | $351K | +8.8% | |
| Moorhead (Tract 030400) | $251K | $272K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorhead area | $352K | $374K | $222K | |
| Moorhead (Tract 030300) | $208K | $218K | $122K | |
| Dilworth | $264K | $276K | $119K | |
| Moorhead (Tract 020300) | $216K | $231K | $117K | |
| Moorhead (Tract 020600) | $246K | $274K | $113K | |
| Moorhead (Tract 020700) | $177K | $194K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.