County 27185, MN · Census Tract 27185004441 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.06M
Downside (P10)
$1.56M
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.55M
-37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.27M
-19% by 2030
Base case: -37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to -19%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 27185 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.1M | $3.8M | $3.1M | $2.6M | $2.5M |
| YoY Change | -6.6% | -17.4% | -15.7% | -3.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.8M | $2.1M | $1.6M | $1.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.4M | $3.8M | $3.4M | $3.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.30M to $4.46M
28.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.56M to $3.27M
66.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004962 | $3.86M | $2.43M | -37.2% |
| Tract 008201 | $3.46M | $2.48M | -28.3% |
| Tract 008023 | $3.41M | $2.31M | -32.2% |
| Tract 003824 | $3.30M | $2.29M | -30.8% |
| Tract 006669 | $3.30M | $2.24M | -31.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005165 | $2.24M | $1.86M | -17.2% |
| Tract 007642 | $2.25M | $1.83M | -18.8% |
| Tract 005084 | $2.08M | $1.66M | -20.3% |
| Tract 005000 | $2.77M | $2.18M | -21.1% |
| Tract 008308 | $2.22M | $1.73M | -22.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006627 | $2.06M | $1.54M | $955K |
| Tract 007082 | $1.86M | $1.33M | $1.06M |
| Tract 006203 | $1.87M | $1.44M | $1.06M |
| Tract 008243 | $2.83M | $1.97M | $1.08M |
| Tract 005440 | $2.05M | $1.57M | $1.11M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources