County 27220, MN · Census Tract 27220001121 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$688K
Downside (P10)
$338K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$646K
-6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.24M
+81% by 2030
Base case: -6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +81%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 27220 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $688K | $704K | $672K | $634K | $646K |
| YoY Change | +2.4% | -4.5% | -5.7% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $473K | $356K | $338K | $338K | |
| Upside (P90) | $977K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$535K to $900K
53.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$338K to $1.24M
140.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001448 | $682K | $659K | -3.3% |
| Tract 000805 | $679K | $615K | -9.3% |
| Tract 000148 | $675K | $588K | -13.0% |
| Tract 000481 | $673K | $601K | -10.7% |
| Tract 001765 | $671K | $605K | -9.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000326 | $600K | $729K | +21.6% |
| Tract 000025 | $621K | $714K | +15.1% |
| Tract 000685 | $618K | $707K | +14.4% |
| Tract 000287 | $633K | $719K | +13.6% |
| Tract 001082 | $646K | $733K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001642 | $625K | $664K | $683K |
| Tract 001749 | $671K | $590K | $703K |
| Tract 000588 | $638K | $655K | $705K |
| Tract 000601 | $613K | $680K | $717K |
| Tract 000203 | $651K | $654K | $720K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources