County 27800, MN · Census Tract 27800004454 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$690K
Downside (P10)
$460K
-33% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$770K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.33M
+93% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -33% to +93%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 27800 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $690K | $722K | $726K | $719K | $770K |
| YoY Change | +4.7% | +0.5% | -0.9% | +7.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $553K | $469K | $459K | $460K | |
| Upside (P90) | $943K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$590K to $855K
38.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$460K to $1.33M
112.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004108 | $692K | $696K | +0.5% |
| Tract 004807 | $685K | $807K | +17.9% |
| Tract 002508 | $671K | $772K | +15.2% |
| Tract 006355 | $670K | $888K | +32.5% |
| Tract 004250 | $669K | $685K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005903 | $652K | $888K | +36.2% |
| Tract 006355 | $670K | $888K | +32.5% |
| Tract 005107 | $743K | $944K | +27.0% |
| Tract 004302 | $546K | $677K | +24.0% |
| Tract 004658 | $946K | $1.15M | +22.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006355 | $670K | $888K | $562K |
| Tract 004807 | $685K | $807K | $564K |
| Tract 005000 | $796K | $914K | $572K |
| Tract 005903 | $652K | $888K | $620K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources