County 27636, MN · Census Tract 27636480006 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.63M
Downside (P10)
$1.33M
-50% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.90M
-28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.46M
-6% by 2030
Base case: -28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -50% to -6%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 27636 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.6M | $2.6M | $2.3M | $2.0M | $1.9M |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | -13.7% | -12.3% | -4.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.0M | $1.6M | $1.4M | $1.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.0M | $2.7M | $2.5M | $2.5M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.09M to $2.89M
30.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.33M to $2.46M
59.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440004 | $2.28M | $1.57M | -31.3% |
| Tract 760001 | $2.24M | $1.72M | -23.0% |
| Tract 560007 | $2.24M | $1.60M | -28.5% |
| Tract 840002 | $3.02M | $2.19M | -27.4% |
| Tract 920003 | $3.04M | $2.06M | -32.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200008 | $1.73M | $1.35M | -22.2% |
| Tract 760001 | $2.24M | $1.72M | -23.0% |
| Tract 840002 | $3.02M | $2.19M | -27.4% |
| Tract 560007 | $2.24M | $1.60M | -28.5% |
| Tract 440004 | $2.28M | $1.57M | -31.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560007 | $2.24M | $1.60M | $1.01M |
| Tract 200008 | $1.73M | $1.35M | $1.02M |
| Tract 640008 | $2.08M | $1.42M | $1.17M |
| Tract 760001 | $2.24M | $1.72M | $1.22M |
| Tract 440004 | $2.28M | $1.57M | $1.28M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources