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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 27636, MN · Census Tract 27636560007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.24M
Downside (P10)
$1.06M
-53% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.60M
-28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.06M
-8% by 2030
Base case: -28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -53% to -8%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.2M | $2.2M | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.6M |
| YoY Change | -2.4% | -11.4% | -13.5% | -4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.1M | $1.1M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.6M | $2.4M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.52M to $2.57M
48.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.06M to $2.06M
62.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560007 | $2.24M | $1.60M | -28.5% | |
| Tract 200008 | $1.73M | $1.35M | -22.2% | |
| Tract 760001 | $2.24M | $1.72M | -23.0% | |
| Tract 480006 | $2.63M | $1.90M | -27.8% | |
| Tract 440004 | $2.28M | $1.57M | -31.3% | |
| Tract 640008 | $2.08M | $1.42M | -31.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560007 | $2.24M | $1.60M | -28.5% | |
| Tract 200008 | $1.73M | $1.35M | -22.2% | |
| Tract 760001 | $2.24M | $1.72M | -23.0% | |
| Tract 840002 | $3.02M | $2.19M | -27.4% | |
| Tract 480006 | $2.63M | $1.90M | -27.8% | |
| Tract 440004 | $2.28M | $1.57M | -31.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560007 | $2.24M | $1.60M | $1.01M | |
| Tract 440004 | $2.28M | $1.57M | $1.28M | |
| Tract 760001 | $2.24M | $1.72M | $1.22M | |
| Tract 640008 | $2.08M | $1.42M | $1.17M | |
| Tract 480006 | $2.63M | $1.90M | $1.13M | |
| Tract 200008 | $1.73M | $1.35M | $1.02M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources