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County 27198, MN · Census Tract 27198000209 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$395K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$504K
+28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$813K
+106% by 2030
Base case: +28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +106%. The model forecasts this with 44% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $395K | $451K | $459K | $468K | $504K |
| YoY Change | +14.2% | +1.8% | +1.9% | +7.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $315K | $299K | $260K | $295K | |
| Upside (P90) | $600K | $699K | $723K | $813K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$315K to $600K
63.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$295K to $813K
102.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000209 | $395K | $504K | +27.7% | |
| Tract 000128 | $392K | $516K | +31.7% | |
| Tract 000102 | $378K | $478K | +26.5% | |
| Tract 000827 | $400K | $498K | +24.5% | |
| Tract 000681 | $393K | $478K | +21.7% | |
| Tract 000584 | $396K | $468K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000209 | $395K | $504K | +27.7% | |
| Tract 000128 | $392K | $516K | +31.7% | |
| Tract 000102 | $378K | $478K | +26.5% | |
| Tract 000827 | $400K | $498K | +24.5% | |
| Tract 000681 | $393K | $478K | +21.7% | |
| Tract 000584 | $396K | $468K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000209 | $395K | $504K | $518K | |
| Tract 000801 | $467K | $518K | $582K | |
| Tract 000063 | $473K | $541K | $561K | |
| Tract 000102 | $378K | $478K | $522K | |
| Tract 000827 | $400K | $498K | $499K | |
| Tract 000584 | $396K | $468K | $492K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources