Crow Wing, MN · ZIP 56401 · Census Tract 27035951303 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$320K
Downside (P10)
$280K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$355K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$461K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +44%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Crow Wing markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $190K | $184K | $227K | $233K | $308K | $320K | $325K | $343K | $355K |
| YoY Change | -3.3% | +23.5% | +2.6% | +32.0% | +4.1% | +1.4% | +5.5% | +3.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $288K | $286K | $280K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $393K | $417K | $461K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$288K to $393K
32.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$280K to $461K
50.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baxter area | $313K | $355K | +13.2% | |
| Baxter | $321K | $350K | +9.1% | |
| Breezy Point area | $319K | $331K | +3.6% | |
| St. Mathias area | $315K | $341K | +8.4% | |
| Baxter | $329K | $361K | +9.9% | |
| Nokay Lake area | $295K | $305K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baxter area | $313K | $355K | +13.2% | |
| Bay Lake area | $437K | $511K | +16.9% | |
| Fairfield area | $346K | $385K | +11.4% | |
| Ideal area | $441K | $490K | +11.0% | |
| Baxter | $329K | $361K | +9.9% | |
| Pelican | $444K | $487K | +9.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baxter area | $313K | $355K | $181K | |
| Oak Lawn area | $156K | $164K | $75K | |
| Oak Lawn area | $197K | $210K | $114K | |
| Rabbit Lake | $247K | $266K | $119K | |
| Trommald area | $215K | $220K | $122K | |
| Brainerd area | $191K | $206K | $130K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.