What is the home price forecast for Parcel 27037060841 in Apple Valley · Saint Paul · (Tract 608.41)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $456,024 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 27037060841 in Apple Valley · Saint Paul · (Tract 608.41)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $456,024 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.5%.

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Parcel 27037060841 (Apple Valley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 27037060841, Apple Valley · Saint Paul · (Tract 608.41) Home Price Forecast

Dakota, MN · ZIP 55124 · Census Tract 27037060841 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$456K

Downside (P10)

$385K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$481K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$665K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$301K	$325K	$378K	$402K	$438K	$456K	$466K	$475K	$481K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$154,924	-$130,924	-$78,324	-$53,624	-$17,924		+$9,477	+$18,713	+$24,955
Growth % vs 2026	-34.0%	-28.7%	-17.2%	-11.8%	-3.9%		+2.1%	+4.1%	+5.5%
Downside (P10)							$397K	$393K	$385K
Upside (P90)							$564K	$615K	$665K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$397K to $564K

35.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$385K to $665K

58.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.5% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 27037060841, Apple Valley · Saint Paul · (Tract 608.41) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).