Fillmore, MN · ZIP 55939 · Census Tract 27045960500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$197K
Downside (P10)
$169K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$216K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$287K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +45%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Fillmore markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $118K | $125K | $134K | $138K | $138K | $145K | $152K | $172K | $174K | $189K | $197K | $197K | $210K | $216K | $196K |
| YoY Change | +5.9% | +7.1% | +3.4% | +0.1% | +5.1% | +4.3% | +13.5% | +0.9% | +8.7% | +4.7% | -0.1% | +6.5% | +2.7% | -9.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $174K | $175K | $169K | $174K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $252K | $275K | $287K | $223K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$174K to $252K
39.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$174K to $223K
24.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol area | $193K | $216K | +11.8% | |
| Preble area | $207K | $223K | +7.5% | |
| Bloomfield area | $179K | $201K | +11.8% | |
| Arendahl area | $231K | $263K | +13.9% | |
| Preston area | $243K | $259K | +6.4% | |
| Jordan area | $279K | $305K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol area | $193K | $216K | +11.8% | |
| Arendahl area | $231K | $263K | +13.9% | |
| Bloomfield area | $179K | $201K | +11.8% | |
| Jordan area | $279K | $305K | +9.2% | |
| Preble area | $207K | $223K | +7.5% | |
| Preston area | $243K | $259K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol area | $193K | $216K | $118K | |
| Preble area | $207K | $223K | $108K | |
| Arendahl area | $231K | $263K | $113K | |
| Bloomfield area | $179K | $201K | $118K | |
| Preston area | $243K | $259K | $153K | |
| Jordan area | $279K | $305K | $192K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.