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Kandiyohi, MN · ZIP 56201 · Census Tract 27067780800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$149K
Downside (P10)
$129K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$159K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$199K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $92K | $86K | $90K | $94K | $96K | $91K | $137K | $139K | $148K | $149K | $153K | $159K | $159K |
| YoY Change | -0.5% | -6.4% | +3.9% | +4.6% | +1.8% | -4.9% | +50.5% | +1.9% | +6.5% | +0.4% | +2.8% | +3.7% | +0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $130K | $129K | $129K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $176K | $187K | $199K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$130K to $176K
30.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$129K to $199K
44.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willmar | $147K | $159K | +7.9% | |
| Willmar (Tract 780700) | $213K | $237K | +11.1% | |
| Lake Elizabeth area | $210K | $232K | +10.5% | |
| Willmar (Tract 770900) | $172K | $190K | +10.5% | |
| Edwards area | $197K | $210K | +6.2% | |
| Willmar (Tract 781000) | $190K | $190K | +0.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willmar | $147K | $159K | +7.9% | |
| Willmar (Tract 780700) | $213K | $237K | +11.1% | |
| Willmar area | $221K | $244K | +10.6% | |
| Lake Andrew area | $373K | $412K | +10.5% | |
| Lake Elizabeth area | $210K | $232K | +10.5% | |
| Willmar (Tract 770900) | $172K | $190K | +10.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willmar | $147K | $159K | $70K | |
| Edwards area | $197K | $210K | $134K | |
| Willmar area | $221K | $244K | $130K | |
| Willmar (Tract 780700) | $213K | $237K | $121K | |
| Willmar (Tract 781000) | $190K | $190K | $102K | |
| Willmar (Tract 770900) | $172K | $190K | $87K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.